China's loss is not India's gain (27th April 2020)

Indian government was expecting that an Anti-China emotion around the globe will actually help us and companies who are planning to move out of China will come to India. That means COVID-19 will help us in becoming Manufacturing hub of the world.

Though, I never liked the idea of becoming manufacturing hub, because this essentially means you are outsourcing the pollution of developed countries and in long run ruining our future generations. China is a master in deception, still whatever the studies we have come across, they have paid a huge price to become manufacturing destination in Pre-COVID world.

However, given the economic scenario, if that happens, it's good for India to face some challenging times approaching us.

But, now the news is, India is not the priority for these companies. Companies who are moving out of China are going to Vietnam, Taiwan, Thailand, Indonesia and other developing countries and not India.

Why?

Bureaucracy, Ease of doing business Ranks, Unrest in Civil society, our Preparation, Infrastructure, Technology etc.

The Corona Threat (20-Mar-2020)

Whenever I pay 1 extra rupee for a #Mask or #Sanitizer, I hate #Capitalism even more. Whoever considers this situation as a business opportunity, is sick to the core.

Corona threat, for me, is just a reminder that nature is the ultimate boss. All the development, Technology, & anything which can be bought by Money are so fragile and momentary.

Whoever is reading this, most probably already has lost significant savings in the Stocks, Mutual Funds, etc. And if the hypothesis is to be believed each and every human being will get affected by this Virus and "Natural Selection" will choose who lives and who does not. In short, every individual life will get hampered by a being that is so small that it can not be seen by naked eyes.

They say #Vegetarians are better equipped biologically to tackle this. I am a vegetarian but this does not give me a cushion of comfort. However, I am indeed happy for better eating habits developed. We, humans, are so obsessed with Human-centric mindset that everything else existing on this planet is to serve us, and only "We are here for some noble purpose". Every life is equally important, be it human life or an ant or Cockroach.

This moment has revived my old belief that "The most beautiful thing about life is life itself."

#Anupamism

HOW DANGEROUS IS CORONA?

What is the fatality rate of Corona Infection cases ?

3 % ... 4% ... this is what they are telling you right?

If I look at the data available at this time at (Worldometer) on 2nd April 2020 @ 5:00 PM . There are total of 9,50,639 confirmed cases , out of which 48,289 are confirmed deaths . This means total death percentage is roughly 5%.

But is this the true figure ?

In this 9,50,639 cases,Active cases are 6,99,719 .Who in the world can predict that how many of these people will recover or will be dead?

This confirmed death figure of 48,289 is out of the closed cases which are 2,50,920 . In this number, 2,02,631 people have recovered and remaining 48,289 are dead. So the actual Death % straight away jumps to 19.23%

Now, as we will practically not have any medicine for Corona for almost one year (USATODAY) and Corona virus kills its infected victim in almost 20 days. It is easy to conclude that in next 20 days , which will be 22 April , we will have at least another additional 1,34,346 death worldwide out of the 6,99,719 Active cases. Remember, this does not include a single new case we will have after 5:00 PM on 2nd April 2020.

This also does not consider the fact that Corona Virus reappears in 14 % of the patients who have been discharged. (INDIATIMES)


Following list shows the percentage of the deaths in closed cases and predicts country wise deaths out of the Active cases. Important to note that in country like UK, recovery % is very low and death rate is very high, almost 95 % , and in country like Germany where death rate is 4.7 % , which means though UK have 26,000 Active cases and Germany have 58,000 , number of deaths in UK are going to be much much more than Germany. If we follow our Calculation method , USA will have have 78,688 deaths in next 20 days , even if we don't find a single new case.

In countries like India , it is extremely tough to predict anything based on the data available on account of number of the identified cases have been very low. This could be sign of impact of early lockdown of the country or we have failed to identify the actual cases as of now. If ,Unfortunately, India also reaches to those figures where USA, Italy or Spain have reached , the % of death cases will go up from current 28% , simply because we are absolutely incapable to handle medical emergency of this volume. Hey and what about those regular patients whose beds have been taken over by Corona patients? How will we count collateral damage to the patients who are suffering from other diseases ? Heart Attacks and Brain  haemorrhage , how will we deal with the situation where every ICU bed is occupied by Corona patients ?

Have not we started hearing people committing suicide because they find Corona Symptoms in themselves ? (AMARUJALA)

Haven't people have started choosing death over financial difficulties in coming times?(INDIATIMES ) 

Yes , it has been said , written and told thousand times by thousand people, but believe me this crises is capable to damage every single thing Humanity has achieved in the past decades .We don't know how will we react if economic crises worsens and stretches.What if resources are not free flowing?

What if China is actually responsible to start this and we see a million deaths ? Isn't World War 3 on the table?